Duke vs. UNC Preview

Duke must take care of the ball

I’m sure your well aware of this already but #3 North Carolina (21-2, 7-2) heads down the road to Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on #5 Duke (20-3,7-2) tonight. Both teams are currently tied for 1st in the ACC and as usual this should be a great game.

Spread: UNC -1.5

Probable Starters

Duke

  • G: Greg Paulus, Sr., 6’1″, 6.1ppg, 1.7apg
  • G: Jon Scheyer, Jr., 6’5″, 13ppg, 3.8rpg
  • F: Gerald Henderson, Jr., 6’4″, 15.2ppg, 5rpg
  • F: Kyle Singler, So., 6’8″, 15.8ppg, 8.2rpg
  • F: Lance Thomas, Jr., 6’8″, 5.5ppg, 3.2rpg

North Carolina

  • G: Ty Lawson, Jr.,5’11”, 15.3ppg, 6.6apg
  • G: Wayne Ellington, Jr., 6’4″, 15ppg, 4.5rpg
  • G: Danny Green, Sr., 6’6″, 13.5ppg, 4.5rpg
  • F: Tyler Hansbrough, Sr., 6’9″, 22.1ppg, 7.8rpg
  • C: Deon Thompson, Jr., 6’8″, 11.3ppg, 6.6rpg

What Duke Needs to do: Take care of the Ball and Rebound

Greg Paulus seems to have regained his stating spot over Nolan Smith. He’s proved to be a turnover machine at times so he’s going have to take of the ball if Duke wants to stay in this one. Whether it’s Paulus or Smith at the point , if they play well Duke will have a very good chance at winning this one as long as they keep the rebounding margin close.

What UNC Needs to do: Play a complete game.

In half court D they’ve got to close out on shooters and lock down guys. The steals will be there but what they do in the half-court on Offense and Defense is crucial. UNC should have a big advantage in the post with Hansbrough, Thompson and Davis so they should feed the ball inside as much as possible. In turn that’s going to open up the perimeter for Lawson, Green and Ellington. They don’t have to be lights out from the perimeter but they need to be efficient as a group from mid to long range.

Dan’s Prediction: 88-82 UNC

On paper there is no way Duke can match-up with the Heels but that doesn’t matter in these games. It’ll be close to the end with Henderson and Singler leading the charge for Duke but I see the hells pulling it out. Hansbrough will get his 20 & 10 but the difference makers for UNC will be Ty Lawson and a big game by Freshman Ed Davis off the bench. The UNC seniors should end their career with a 4-0 record in Durham.

Jack’s Prediction: I think Jack will be on here later to make his pick.

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One Response

  1. As promised I’m here to make my pick.

    104-100 UNC in OT
    I’m tempted to go with Duke just to go against Dan but I just don’t see it happening. I wouldn’t be surprised if UNC wins 10 or 12 but since it’s at Cameron you know the 3ball will be dropping for Duke. So I think this is going to be a game of spurts and it’ll be tied at 91 at the end of the 2nd half. In OT I think UNC will prove to be too much.

    Duke’s MOP: I’m going with Kyle Singler. I think he’s gonna have a huge game but it won’t be enough.

    UNC’s MOP: In all honesty several guys could step up and have a huge game. That’s what makes UNC so scary. But if I have to choose one I’m going with Wayne Ellington. He’s been on a tear lately and I expect him to continue lighting it up tonight.

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